Journal of Akhadic Studies

[Hadash]

Journal of Akhadic Studies

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Kyrzbekistan: Ruling party leads in national election, without a clear winner
By: Ahmet Irekur
Published: Ochtyr, 1597


A poll station in Frasheri, Kyrzbekistan.

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Federal election in the Democratic Republic of Kyrzbekistan appears to have given no party a clear majority - probably signaling a period of political instability for Near East's longest democracy in an Akhadic-majority country.

As of today morning local time, the official vote count indicated that the left-wing and secular Socialist People's Party will gain the most seats in the parliament, but likely failing to gain a majority in the Congress People's of Deputies, the Lower House of the Kyrzbekistani parliament.

The Socialist People's Party has been in power since the establishment of the Democratic Republic of Kyrzbekistan in 1568, with every President and Chairman of the People's Council (head of governments) being a member of the Socialist People's Party. They are expected to have obtained between 178 and 190 seats, which could be their worst result since the 1581 national election, in which the Socialist People's Party only obtained 171 of 399 seats. However, with 40.2% of the vote, the Socialist People's Party remains the largest party with a strong base, even if failed to obtain a majority, against a divided opposition.

The Democratic Social Forum, a secular and moderate political party, mostly supported by Arberian-minority voters, was the second largest party, although only obtaining 17.4% of the vote. The other left-wing parties, such as the Kyrzbek Labour Party and the Kyrzbekistani Party of Social Justice obtained a poor result, unable to obtain the minimum 5% of the vote, and they will only be able to obtain a few seats through direct constituencies, probably increasing the influence of the Arberian political party.

The Kyrzbek National Party, a conservative Akhadist political party affiliated to the Akhadic Society, which had been the second largest political party in the last two national elections, obtained a disappointed result, around 16.8% of the vote, almost ten points less than in the 1593 parliamentary election, mostly as a consequence of the division of the Akhadist parties. The Akhadic Conservative Party, could only secure one seat in the parliament. Meanwhile, Akhadic Renaissance Movement (ANK), a religious political party founded only two years ago, and which is considered even to the right to the Kyrzbek National Party, obtained an unexpected 9.1% of the vote, aspiring to become the fifth largest political party in their first election.

Another surprise was the result obtained by the Kyrzbekistani Democratic Party, previously known as "Kyrzbek Democrats", led by Toktamish Narimanur, which is expected to obtain between 20 and 40 seats. Narimanur was a former Socialist People's Party's ally, and was Governor of the Yartushia state from 1586 to 1594, elected as independent in a coalition government which included a majority of Socialist People's Party members. However, in recent years, Narimanur and the ruling party seem to have parted ways, as Narimarur recently justified in an interview his decision to create his own political party that he feared that President Damir Kazbekur could be on the "path toward an one-single party" if the Socialist People's Party obtained a majority again. However, Narimanur has declared that he's willing to work with every party of the parliament, including the Socialist People's Party.

As a consequence of the division of the parliament, weeks of talks between the parties may now lie ahead. The negotiations as expected to be complicated, as the Socialist People's Party may find difficult to form either a national coalition or enough support to lead a minority government, but at the same time there is not a likely chance to form an alternative government, as the opposition is highly divided between ethnic parties, secular moderates, and Akhadist political parties without much common ground.

Once the new session of the Congress of People's Deputies meets in two months and elects the new Speaker of the Congress of People's Deputies, a candidate for Chairman of the People's Council could be nominated to negotiate with other parties in order to form a government. The current Chairman of the People's Council is Temujin Zamambekur, also from the Socialist People's Party. Temujin Zamambekur, who has led the government since 1590 and was expected to repeat in case the Socialist People's Party had obtained a majority, will remain in office even if there's no agreement between the different parties, as the Kyrzbekistani constitution does not establish any limit on forming a government.