Eternity RPC Board
10-04-2016, 05:16 PM
Surely we need to discuss the Wadiyah topic again, sadly. Kyrzbekistan has already called another urgent NETO meeting at least. 
Under the assumption that Wadiyah government requested NETO military assistance legally *before* the elections, what the military leadership has done after the vote, if not actually a coup d'etat, it must be clearly unconstitutional. Even if the interim president has loses the elections, and the country is under a typical period of transition of power, the interim government is still in charge, and the military is not supposed to have sovereign power over the country sovereignty.
Some of the decisions of the interim government and their Silastrian allies, on the other hand, when not blatantly stupid, have not been clearly lawful, we could say. And their claim to legitimacy have been weakened at least. It is also clear that even if they were able to keep control of the capital and some provinces in the next days/weeks/months, they are not able to keep control of the country anymore. It is likely they would lose, or the country going to another civil war for months and likely years.
What could NETO do? Well, this is likely Kyrzbekistan' government view on the issue.
a) Withdrawal and non-interference from Wadiyah. Accept the military and conservatives claim of "democratic victory" and sovereingty over the country, even if it is likely chaos will be followed and who knows if NETO will be forced to act in the future as that situation may translate into war and unstability outside Wadiyah borders again.
b) In our view, an alternative but more reasonable option that fully endorse any side would be declaring a Non-fly zone over Wadiyah by NETO, in order to assure the peace and stability in the country. Any navy or air force which involve in direct activity or warfare -either it is under Wadiyah military, Bassam's forces, Akhadist militias, or Silistrian para-military control- will be smashed down. This would apply as well as any artillery attack that involve the death of civilians, we could claim, in order to force all sides to negotiate a solution.
For a while, this may be enough to contain the situation to another full-fledged civil war which danger regional stability.
Under the assumption that Wadiyah government requested NETO military assistance legally *before* the elections, what the military leadership has done after the vote, if not actually a coup d'etat, it must be clearly unconstitutional. Even if the interim president has loses the elections, and the country is under a typical period of transition of power, the interim government is still in charge, and the military is not supposed to have sovereign power over the country sovereignty.
Some of the decisions of the interim government and their Silastrian allies, on the other hand, when not blatantly stupid, have not been clearly lawful, we could say. And their claim to legitimacy have been weakened at least. It is also clear that even if they were able to keep control of the capital and some provinces in the next days/weeks/months, they are not able to keep control of the country anymore. It is likely they would lose, or the country going to another civil war for months and likely years.
What could NETO do? Well, this is likely Kyrzbekistan' government view on the issue.
a) Withdrawal and non-interference from Wadiyah. Accept the military and conservatives claim of "democratic victory" and sovereingty over the country, even if it is likely chaos will be followed and who knows if NETO will be forced to act in the future as that situation may translate into war and unstability outside Wadiyah borders again.
b) In our view, an alternative but more reasonable option that fully endorse any side would be declaring a Non-fly zone over Wadiyah by NETO, in order to assure the peace and stability in the country. Any navy or air force which involve in direct activity or warfare -either it is under Wadiyah military, Bassam's forces, Akhadist militias, or Silistrian para-military control- will be smashed down. This would apply as well as any artillery attack that involve the death of civilians, we could claim, in order to force all sides to negotiate a solution.
For a while, this may be enough to contain the situation to another full-fledged civil war which danger regional stability.